Kerry: 311 Electoral Votes

How?
- increased turnout (up to 80% of voters registered in some swing states). New voters break nearly 70/30 in favour of Kerry
- polls don't include people whose primary phone is a mobile phone. That's 6% of the population, predominantly young people who also break almost 70/30 in favour of Kerry
- Bush polls less than 50% satisfied he's doing a good job and no President with less than 50 has ever been re-elected
- Kerry's using Clinton, which Gore should have done
- Cheney and Ashcroft got their flu injections while Bush is asking citizens to forego their shots.
- Incumbents don't have close results. They win big time or lose big time.
Unless, of course, there's an attack on the US or Bush conjures up bin Laden, either of which would make W a shoe-in.
.